Monday, June 16, 2008
Justifying the Numbers
My theater buddy, Renee Rose, and I had a blast at tonight's Tony Awards. And we both thought Whoopi Goldberg did an excellent job as the host. (She's no Hugh Jackman, but still a fine host.)
So, I didn't do so hot on my Tony predictions this year -- I got 16 out of 26 right for a 62% accuracy rate. This compares unfavorably to my 72% accuracy rate (18 out of 25) last year.
HOWEVER, it is far superior to how I did in 2006 when I only got 9 out of 24 (38%) right.
My big mistake this year was failing to recognize the revival of "South Pacific" as the juggernaut that it ended up being. That's the only show I really wanted to see while I was here but couldn't get a ticket to -- all the performances were completely sold out while I was in New York. (I suppose the fact it's such a hot ticket should have been my first clue.)
And obviously the lesson, if I want to improve my prediction accuracy, is to see more theater in the next year.